In the 1980s, the Philippines, a Southeast Asian country,
faced a severe economic crisis. However, President Marcos showed little concern
for the economy, focusing instead on acquiring artworks at great expense. His
wife, Imelda Marcos, spent millions of pesos on shoes, gowns, and jewelry.
Freedom of expression was nonexistent, and dissent was brutally suppressed.
Around 3,000 people were killed by government forces and Marcos loyalists.
Marcos gained a reputation as one of the cruelest dictators in international media.
Eventually, enraged Filipinos took to the streets, and the movement became a
popular uprising. In 1986, under the pressure of this uprising, Marcos fled to
Hawaii in the United States. Three years later, he died in exile, devastated by
his loss of power.
The former Pakistani military ruler, General Pervez
Musharraf, also faced a tragic end. Musharraf seized power in 1999 through a
military coup and was elected President in 2001 through a questionable
election. The same scenario occurred in the 2004 election. He encountered
trouble when he extended his rule by suspending the Constitution. In late 2007,
former Pakistani Prime Minister Benazir Bhutto was killed in a suicide bombing,
which sparked violence across Pakistan. Musharraf declared a state of emergency
and postponed national elections, but it did not save him. He faced public
outrage, and his party suffered a disastrous defeat in the 2008 elections.
Subsequently, Parliament impeached Musharraf. In response, he resigned and fled
to the United Kingdom. Despite various efforts, he could not return to his
country or reinstate himself in politics. After traveling between countries, he
ultimately died in a hospital in Dubai in 2023.
Many dictators have fled their countries in recent
decades due to popular uprisings. However, most have been unable to return to
their homeland after leaving. They have lived in exile for the rest of their
lives. Among the few who did manage to return, none have been able to reinstate
themselves in politics.
When asked about this, an expatriate political scientist,
speaking on condition of anonymity, told Bonik Barta, "When authoritarian
rulers are ousted in the face of public outrage, most are forced to flee their
countries. They try to seek refuge in countries that supported or helped them
in the past. However, they fail to secure this refuge in most cases because
they no longer hold any significance to these countries. These governments have
no plans concerning them. Additionally, major changes in their home country's
politics prevent these ousted dictators from reintegrating. The lives of
deposed authoritarian rulers end in solitude. Most of them are discarded into
the dustbin of history and forced to live in literal obscurity."
Some dictators have managed to return to their home
countries. However, none of them have been able to re-enter politics in a
significant way. One such dictator is Bolivia's Evo Morales.
Evo Morales was Bolivia's first president from a small
indigenous group and initially gained widespread popularity. Some of his
reforms were quite well-received. However, his attempts to cling to power by
any means eventually presented him as a dictator to the public. After holding
power for three consecutive terms, protests erupted in 2019 over allegations of
election fraud. Faced with public outrage, he resigned and fled to Mexico.
Although he later returned to Bolivia, he was unable to regain a significant
position in politics.
Although he was able to return to his homeland, Chilean
dictator Augusto Pinochet spent the remainder of his life in prison. After
losing power, he sought refuge in London. However, on October 10, 1998, he was
arrested by London police based on a Spanish court warrant. Despite fighting a
legal battle, he was eventually sent back to Chile by the British government.
Upon his return, he faced charges related to murder, disappearances, and
torture. Even as he died at the age of 91, over 300 criminal cases for human
rights violations were still ongoing against him.
Sri Lanka declared itself bankrupt in April 2022. At that
time, Gotabaya Rajapaksa was the country's President, and his brother Mahinda
Rajapaksa was the prime minister. The Rajapaksa family was held responsible for
the severe economic consequences faced by the country. They controlled nearly
three-quarters of the nation's economy. Additionally, they faced allegations of
media freedom suppression, human rights violations, and various other crimes.
Soon after Sri Lanka went bankrupt, the Rajapaksa family
faced public outrage. In May, Mahinda Rajapaksa fled power and sought refuge
with the military. In July, Gotabaya Rajapaksa left the country, first heading
to the Maldives and then to Singapore, where he was granted a 14-day "visit
pass." During his stay there, Gotabaya sent his resignation letter to Sri
Lanka on July 14. The Speaker of the Sri Lankan Parliament officially announced
his resignation on July 15. He later moved to Thailand and, after about a month
and a half, returned to Sri Lanka under "special security." However,
Gotabaya Rajapaksa has not yet managed to return to politics.
In 2011, a massive popular uprising began against
Tunisian dictator Zine El Abidine Ben Ali, known as the Jasmine Revolution.
This revolution eventually gave rise to the Arab Spring. During the uprising,
Ben Ali lost his 23-year hold on power and fled with his family to Saudi
Arabia. He was unable to return to his country and lived in exile in Saudi
Arabia until his death at the age of 83.
Regarding the exiled life of dictators, Associate
Professor Kazi Mohammad Mahbobor Rahman from the Department of Political
Science at Dhaka University told Bonik Barta, "If the source of state
power remains in its previous place, such as if only the Prime Minister or a
few individuals are removed while making only minor changes to the power
structure, it can pose a challenge. However, if the previous power structure is
dismantled in two or three layers, then there is no opportunity for the old
rulers to return. Therefore, to prevent the return of dictators, the state
structure and source of power must be changed by the revolutionaries."
In the 2014 presidential election in Afghanistan, Ashraf
Ghani won. However, by September 21, 2021, U.S. President Biden announced that
the last group of American soldiers would leave Afghanistan. Immediately after
that, the Taliban began a series of city takeover operations. In this sequence
of events, they also launched an operation in Kabul. Upon learning that the
Taliban had reached the presidential palace, Ashraf Ghani was forced to make
the decision to leave the country within a matter of minutes.
However, Ashraf Ghani's situation was different from
other fleeing rulers. He did not leave the country empty-handed. Instead, he
escaped with cash loaded into four cars and a helicopter, fleeing first to Oman
and then to the United Arab Emirates. Since 2021, he has been living in
humanitarian exile there. He has not returned to either his home country or
politics.
In this context, retired Major General Imamuzzaman
Chowdhury (Bir Bikram) told Bonik Barta, "The reason dictators are unable
to return to their countries is that the government in power there does not
support them. After Marcos left the Philippines, his opposition government came
to power. The opposition government would never want him to return to power.
Even if the government is favorable, power is something that people do not want
to change easily, even among their own ranks. For example, the leaders of the
Awami League who went abroad after the death of Bangabandhu in 1975 did not
return. Even when the Awami League came to power, its leaders did not want to
share power among themselves. Therefore, once they have gone abroad, it is
impossible to return even if a favorable government is in place, and it is even
less likely if the government is unfavorable. Furthermore, the people generally
do not want them to return, so they cannot come back. Even if they do return,
they are not rehabilitated in politics because the people do not want
them."
The latest addition to the list of those who fled their
country in the face of popular uprisings is Bangladesh's Sheikh Hasina. She
fled the country following a popular uprising centered around the quota reform
movement. Before leaving Bangladesh on August 5, Sheikh Hasina, who had been in
power for 15 years, resigned from the position of Prime Minister. She is
currently in "safe refuge" in India. Indian media claim that her
request for political asylum in the United Kingdom has already been rejected,
and the United States has also canceled her visa. Initially, her son, Sajeeb
Wazed Joy, announced that neither his mother nor he would return to politics.
However, Sheikh Hasina later broke her silence in an interview, expressing her
desire to return to politics.
Regarding this, Dr. Tanzimuddin Khan, Professor in the
Department of International Relations at Dhaka University, said, "There is
a chance of returning if the party is very strong. If not, the chances of
returning are minimal. The Awami League is not organizationally strong now; its
entire strength is concentrated in one person. This organizational strength can
only create disorder but cannot establish a strong position. The amount of
violence they have perpetrated has caused them to lose support for several
generations. Returning to the country will not be easy for them. The way the
Awami League has used violence to suppress movements is unprecedented. Their
party has now become a terror for the people."
He said, "Globally, institutions like the
International Criminal Court (ICC) exist for the prosecution of genocide. If a
trial for genocide against Sheikh Hasina begins, her situation will worsen
further. Even if it is later considered as ordinary murder, her situation is
unlikely to improve significantly."